Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.The Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization said that it would disband the Syrian government security forces. On December 11th, Giulani, leader of the Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization, said in a statement to Reuters that he would disband the Syrian government security forces and close the prison.IEA monthly report: global oil inventories rebounded in November. OECD crude oil inventories fell by 30.9 million barrels in October. It was observed that global oil inventories fell by 39.3 million barrels in October.
Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.The State Council approved the Hefei Land and Space Master Plan (2021-2035), which proposed to improve the functional structure and spatial layout of the city, coordinate the industrial layout, comprehensive transportation, facility allocation and land use, and give priority to ensuring the space needs of advanced manufacturing industries, scientific apparatus and other scientific and technological innovations. Build an international air cargo hub and a national railway hub, improve the service level of logistics infrastructure, improve the external and internal channels of multi-directional Unicom and multimodal transport, and build a safe, convenient, green and low-carbon urban comprehensive transportation system. Coordinate water conservancy, energy, environment, communications, national defense and other infrastructure spaces, actively and steadily promote the construction of "flat and emergency dual-use" public infrastructure, optimize the regional layout of disaster prevention, mitigation and relief facilities, and improve the security and resilience of national space.Lingang Daya Auto Parts Intelligent Manufacturing Base Project officially started. On the morning of December 12th, the groundbreaking ceremony of Lingang Daya Auto Parts Intelligent Manufacturing Base Project was held in Shanghai Lingang Fengxian Park. After the completion of the project, two 3500T/2500T high-speed multi-position stamping lines are designed, with an annual production capacity of 11 million pieces; Design 210 connection workstations such as spot welding/arc welding/projection welding/riveting, with an annual production capacity of 4 million sets of sheet metal parts; Design an intelligent logistics and three-dimensional warehouse.
Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: It aims to stabilize the inflation rate at 0-2%. We can tolerate inflation temporarily below the target range of 0-2%.Russia is willing to engage with the United States on the Ukrainian issue. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Zacharova said at a regular press conference on the 11th that Russia is willing to engage with the United States on the Ukrainian issue, but has not received any "serious suggestions" from the team of President-elect Trump.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14